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Will the Fed cut rates at the July 2026 meeting?

58%
YES probability
4.0% 24h
Volume
$5.12M
Liquidity
$921.6K

Price history

Order book

YES asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
59¢628371
60¢362217
61¢424259
62¢494306
63¢629396
64¢665426
NO asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
43¢310133
44¢503221
45¢313141
46¢227104
47¢301141
48¢20397

Recent trades

SIDEPRICESIZETIME
no56¢1423s
no58¢21310s
yes59¢51517s
yes59¢42624s
no59¢39231s
no58¢50838s
no60¢26545s
yes59¢38552s
yes57¢17559s
no59¢45566s

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs by the end date as reported by at least two of the following primary sources: Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or the official body responsible for the outcome. Otherwise resolves NO. Disputes are escalated to the ITRADE oracle committee.