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Will OpenAI release GPT-6 in 2026?

49%
YES probability
7.0% 24h
Volume
$1.81M
Liquidity
$325.8K

Price history

Order book

YES asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
50¢578289
51¢649331
52¢529275
53¢357189
54¢895483
55¢317174
NO asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
52¢992516
53¢989524
54¢896484
55¢393216
56¢591331
57¢453258

Recent trades

SIDEPRICESIZETIME
yes48¢3123s
yes48¢29710s
yes50¢40417s
yes49¢21824s
no48¢11431s
yes49¢29638s
no49¢51145s
yes50¢8952s
no49¢24559s
yes48¢37466s

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs by the end date as reported by at least two of the following primary sources: Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or the official body responsible for the outcome. Otherwise resolves NO. Disputes are escalated to the ITRADE oracle committee.